R output

Map of spatial analogues

Map of spatial analogues

Similar colors in the legend indicate that analogues are in the same location.

Add analogues to Google Earth

Show analogue pathway

**Analogue list**
GCM	GHG	Year	Latitude	Longitude	Correspondence Plot	Distance Plot
Baseline	none	2000	1.02	34.81
cccma_cgcm2	B2a	2020s	0.98	34.81	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
csiro_mk2	B2a	2020s	1.02	34.85	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
hccpr_hadcm3	B2a	2020s	1.31	35.31	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
cccma_cgcm2	B2a	2050s	0.98	34.85	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
csiro_mk2	B2a	2050s	0.4	35.6	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
hccpr_hadcm3	B2a	2050s	1.27	34.94	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
cccma_cgcm2	B2a	2080s	1.27	34.94	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
csiro_mk2	B2a	2080s	0.27	35.65	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
hccpr_hadcm3	B2a	2080s	1.35	34.85	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
cccma_cgcm2	A2a	2020s	0.98	34.81	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
csiro_mk2	A2a	2020s	1.02	34.85	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
hccpr_hadcm3	A2a	2020s	1.31	35.31	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
cccma_cgcm2	A2a	2050s	1.27	34.98	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
csiro_mk2	A2a	2050s	0.4	35.6	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
hccpr_hadcm3	A2a	2050s	1.31	35.02	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
cccma_cgcm2	A2a	2080s	0.98	35.6	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
csiro_mk2	A2a	2080s	0.85	34.4	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances
hccpr_hadcm3	A2a	2080s	1.4	34.73	Correspondence plot	Distance map	Google Earth distances

Context graphs (Base vs. analogue locations)

Vulnerability

Show vulnerability evaluation

Methodology

The search for analogues was based on the 'climate distance' method. This method finds the point on the target grid whose climate is most similar to the base grid at the sampled position. This means that for each grid cell of the target grids, and for each climate metric, the (absolute) difference between the base and target values is calculated. These values are then normalized by, in this case, the median of the population of distances over all cells of the target grids (there are other options). Distances of all included climate metrics are then weighted according to user specified weights (see table below) and added up, resulting in one distance value. The grid cell with the minimum distance value is then identified as the analogue location.

**Weight list**
Climate metric	Short name	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Mean monthly Precipitation	P_m_me	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Mean monthly Maximum temperature	MX_m_me	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Mean monthly Minimum temperature	MI_m_me	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1